Gambling Session Simulator: EV and Volatility Analysis

Run 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations to understand how RTP, bet sizing, and volatility affect your balance over a session.

How the session simulator works

The simulator models repeated spins using the RTP and volatility level you choose. Each iteration uses a random outcome distribution that matches the selected volatility profile.

After all iterations finish, the tool reports the probability that your bankroll reaches zero (bust risk), the average final balance, and the mathematical expected value (EV) of the session.

What the inputs mean

  • Starting Balance: the bankroll you begin the session with.
  • Bet Size: the amount wagered on each simulated spin.
  • Game RTP: the percentage of stakes the game is expected to return over the long run.
  • Volatility: how unevenly payouts are distributed across the session.
  • Number of Spins: how many bets the simulation runs.

How to read the results

Bust Risk shows how often the starting balance hit zero before the session ended. Average EV is the expected profit or loss across all iterations. Average Final Balance is the mean amount left after the last spin.

Frequently asked questions

What is the risk of playing a high-volatility game with a small bankroll?

High-volatility games produce less frequent but larger wins. A small bankroll may not survive the losing streaks long enough to reach the larger payouts, so bust risk rises sharply.

How does RTP affect expected value?

RTP is the long-run return percentage. A 96% RTP means the game returns €0.96 for every €1 wagered on average. The difference between 100% and RTP is the house edge.

Can a budget survive more spins than it can cover without wins?

Mathematically the budget can extend if early wins occur, but the house edge means the average final balance decreases as more spins are played.

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